Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.007493 0.008431 0.009457 0.010666 0.012054 0.013603 0.015468
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.005988 0.007252 0.008757 0.010692 0.013131 0.016125 0.020113
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.005062 0.006426 0.008141 0.010476 0.013608 0.017712 0.023579
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004568 0.006028 0.007946 0.010688 0.014565 0.019939 0.028111
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004114 0.005606 0.007641 0.010671 0.015152 0.021674 0.032146
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003616 0.005059 0.007088 0.010214 0.015014 0.022296 0.034545
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003316 0.004756 0.006841 0.010159 0.015443 0.023787 0.038484
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003199 0.004704 0.006950 0.010642 0.016748 0.026800 0.045381
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002895 0.004340 0.006546 0.010267 0.016606 0.027392 0.048117
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002656 0.004054 0.006236 0.010007 0.016615 0.028224 0.051388
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002502 0.003889 0.006102 0.010023 0.017095 0.029934 0.056575
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002445 0.003876 0.006211 0.010461 0.018369 0.033250 0.065490
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002277 0.003671 0.005993 0.010318 0.018589 0.034655 0.070837
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002155 0.003535 0.005881 0.010357 0.019167 0.036860 0.078372
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002007 0.003340 0.005649 0.010148 0.019224 0.037994 0.083658
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001934 0.003273 0.005637 0.010352 0.020136 0.041052 0.094092
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001836 0.003153 0.005519 0.010336 0.020584 0.043155 0.102590
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001691 0.002936 0.005203 0.009895 0.020073 0.043018 0.105268
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001607 0.002827 0.005084 0.009842 0.020402 0.044879 0.113685
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001592 0.002845 0.005209 0.010308 0.021952 0.049888 0.132012
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001483 0.002676 0.004956 0.009946 0.021550 0.050010 0.136135
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001395 0.002542 0.004762 0.009695 0.021381 0.050707 0.142168
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001341 0.002472 0.004692 0.009711 0.021859 0.053161 0.154287